Photo: Grant Halverson / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Golden State Warriors (1-3) are 3.5-point underdogs against the Minnesota Timberwolves (3-1) at Target Center on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on KARE 11, DAZN-MIN, NBCS-BA, and PCK-GSW.
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Warriors vs. Timberwolves Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer model for this encounter expects a final result of Timberwolves 122, Warriors 110.
- Moneyline Pick: Timberwolves (-169)
- Total Pick: Over 227.5 (computer predicts 232.5 points)
- Pick ATS: Timberwolves (-3.5)
Recent Warriors vs. Timberwolves Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/13/2026 | Timberwolves | -5.5 | 224 | -204 | +169 | 127-117 MIN |
| 1/26/2026 | Timberwolves | -8 | 225.5 | -296 | +236 | 108-83 MIN |
| 1/25/2026 | Timberwolves | -5.5 | 237.5 | -207 | +172 | 111-85 GS |
| 12/12/2025 | Warriors | -4.5 | 228.5 | -192 | +160 | 127-120 MIN |
Timberwolves 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Minnesota beat the spread 38 times in 82 games last year.
- The Timberwolves had an ATS record of 24-28 as 3.5-point favorites or more last season.
- Last season, 38 of Minnesota's 82 games hit the over.
- The Timberwolves finished with a 41-18 record in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 69.5% of those games).
- Minnesota had a record of 36-15 in games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -169 or shorter last year (70.6%).
Warriors 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Golden State covered 35 times in 82 games with a spread last year.
- As 3.5-point underdogs or more, the Warriors went 12-15 against the spread last season.
- A total of 47 of Golden State's games last season hit the over.
- Last season, the Warriors were the underdog 32 times and won eight, or 25%, of those games.
- Last season, Golden State won five of its 23 games, or 21.7%, when it was the underdog by at least +143 on the moneyline.
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Warriors vs. Timberwolves Injury Report
Timberwolves
Timberwolves:
Donte DiVincenzo: Out (Achilles),
Anthony Edwards: Out (Knee)
Warriors
Warriors:
Moses Moody: Out (Knee),
Jimmy Butler III: Out (Knee),
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (Illness),
Yaxel Lendeborg: Questionable (Foot)
Warriors vs. Timberwolves Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
- Game time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV channel: KARE 11, DAZN-MIN, NBCS-BA, and PCK-GSW
- Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Arena: Target Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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