Photo: Rich Storry / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Miami Heat hit the court against the Minnesota Timberwolves as just 1.5-point favorites in the first game of the 2026-27 NBA season for both teams on Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.
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Timberwolves vs. Heat Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer projection model for this game calls for a final tally of Heat 119, Timberwolves 117.
- Moneyline Pick: Heat (-118)
- Total Pick: Under 243.5 (computer predicts 235.4 points)
- Pick ATS: Heat (-1.5)
Recent Timberwolves vs. Heat Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/6/2026 | Timberwolves | -5.5 | 238.5 | -204 | +169 | 122-94 MIN |
| 1/3/2026 | Timberwolves | -2.5 | 235.5 | -141 | +119 | 125-115 MIN |
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami had 46 wins in 82 games against the spread last season.
- Against the spread, as 1.5-point favorites or more, the Heat went 23-18 last season.
- Of Miami's 82 games last year, 46 hit the over.
- The Heat were the moneyline favorite 40 total times last season. They finished 25-15 in those games.
- Miami had a record of 24-14 in games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -118 or shorter last year (63.2%).
Timberwolves 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Minnesota put together a 38-44-0 record against the spread last year.
- As 1.5-point underdogs or greater, the Timberwolves went 11-12 against the spread last season.
- In Minnesota's games last year, the combined scoring went over the point total 38 times.
- Last season, the Timberwolves were the underdog 23 times and won eight, or 34.8%, of those games.
- Last season, Minnesota won eight of its 21 games, or 38.1%, when it was the underdog by at least -102 on the moneyline.
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Timberwolves vs. Heat Injury Report
Heat
Heat:
Dru Smith: Out (Calf)
Timberwolves
Timberwolves:
Donte DiVincenzo: Out (Achilles)
Timberwolves vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Wednesday, October 21, 2026
- Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: Kaseya Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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