Lightning vs. Wild Prediction & Picks - March 24

The Eastern Conference's third-ranked squad, the Tampa Bay Lightning (43-21-5), host the third-ranked group from the Western Conference, the Minnesota Wild (40-19-12), on Tuesday, March 24 at 7:30 p.m. ET on TNT.

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Before watching this matchup, here's our pick for which club will emerge victorious in Tuesday's hockey action.

During the past 10 games for the Wild (5-3-2), their offense has totaled 29 goals while their defense has given up 20 goals. They have registered 32 power-play opportunities during that time, and have scored five goals (15.6%).

Lightning vs. Wild Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projection model for this contest predicts a final score of Lightning 4, Wild 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-168)
• Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 5.8 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Pick Em

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Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning (43-21-5 overall) have a 9-5-14 record in contests that have needed overtime.
• Tampa Bay has 19 points (8-9-3) in the 20 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
• The seven times this season the Lightning finished a game with just one goal, they went 2-4-1 (five points).
• Tampa Bay has scored exactly two goals in 15 games this season (4-8-3 record, 11 points).
• The Lightning are 37-7-1 in the 45 games when they have scored three or more goals (to record 75 points).
• In the 25 games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it has a 16-7-2 record (34 points).
• In the 38 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 23-11-4 (50 points).
• The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 29 games, going 18-10-1 to record 37 points.

Wild Splits and Trends

• The Wild (40-19-12 overall) have posted a record of 15-12-27 in matchups that have gone to OT this season.
• Minnesota has earned 33 points (13-3-7) in its 23 games decided by one goal.
• Across the 10 games this season the Wild finished with just one goal, they have earned four points.
• Minnesota has earned 12 points (4-9-4 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
• The Wild have scored at least three goals in 44 games, earning 76 points from those contests.
• This season, Minnesota has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 32 games and picked up 42 points with a record of 18-8-6.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Minnesota is 18-8-5 (41 points).
• The Wild have been outshot by opponents 39 times this season, and earned 49 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Wild Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Tuesday, March 24, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: TNT
• Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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