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The Minnesota Timberwolves (37-23) are slight underdogs (by 2.5 points) to build on a three-game road win streak when they visit the Denver Nuggets (37-23) on Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 3:30 p.m. ET.
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projections model for this contest calls for a final tally of Nuggets 119, Timberwolves 116.
- Moneyline Pick: Nuggets (-141)
- Total Pick: Under 240.5 (computer predicts 235.2 points)
- Pick ATS: Nuggets (-2.5)
Recent Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/25/2025 | Nuggets | -1.5 | 238.5 | -116 | -103 | 142-138 DEN |
| 11/15/2025 | Nuggets | -1.5 | 237 | -114 | -105 | 123-112 DEN |
| 10/27/2025 | Nuggets | -6.5 | 229.5 | -240 | +197 | 127-114 DEN |
| 4/1/2025 | Nuggets | -2 | 229.5 | -123 | +103 | 140-139 MIN |
| 3/12/2025 | Nuggets | -1.5 | 233.5 | -125 | +105 | 115-95 MIN |
| 1/25/2025 | Nuggets | -3.5 | 229.5 | -163 | +138 | 133-104 MIN |
| 11/1/2024 | Timberwolves | -4 | 219.5 | -176 | +149 | 119-116 MIN |
Nuggets 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Denver is 34-26-0 against the spread this season.
- When they have played as at least 2.5-point favorites this season, the Nuggets are 18-18 against the spread.
- Denver has hit the over in 37 of its 60 games with a set total (61.7%).
- This season, the Nuggets have been favored 40 times and won 28, or 70%, of those games.
- Denver has a record of 24-11, a 68.6% win rate, when it's favored by -141 or more by bookmakers this season.
Timberwolves 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Minnesota's ATS record is 26-34-0 this season.
- The Timberwolves have a 5-4 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 2.5 points or more.
- A total of 30 of Minnesota's 60 games with a set total have hit the over (50%).
- The Timberwolves have gone 4-8 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 33.3% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +119 or longer, Minnesota has a record of 3-6 (33.3%).
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Injury Report
Nuggets
Nuggets:
Cameron Johnson: Probable (Ankle),
Spencer Jones: Questionable (Shoulder),
Peyton Watson: Out (Hamstring),
Aaron Gordon: Out (Hamstring),
Tamar Bates: Out (Foot)
Timberwolves
Timberwolves: None
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Sunday, March 1, 2026
- Game time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ABC
- Location: Denver, Colorado
- Arena: Ball Arena
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