The Minnesota Timberwolves (27-19) will look to Anthony Edwards (fifth in the league scoring 29.7 points per game) when they attempt to hold off Stephen Curry (10th in the NBA with 27.3 PPG) and the Golden State Warriors (26-21) on Monday, January 26, 2026 at Target Center. The Timberwolves are 8.5-point home favorites in the game, which starts at 9:30 p.m. ET on Peacock.
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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Predictions for Monday
Our computer model for this game predicts a final result of Timberwolves 117, Warriors 115.
- Moneyline Pick: Timberwolves (-321)
- Total Pick: Under 232.5 (computer predicts 232.2 points)
- Pick ATS: Warriors (+8.5)
Recent Timberwolves vs. Warriors Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/25/2026 | Timberwolves | -5.5 | 237.5 | -207 | +172 | 111-85 GS |
| 12/12/2025 | Warriors | -4.5 | 228.5 | -192 | +160 | 127-120 MIN |
| 5/14/2025 | Timberwolves | -10 | 203 | -442 | +341 | 121-110 MIN |
| 5/12/2025 | Timberwolves | -4.5 | 200.5 | -200 | +166 | 117-110 MIN |
| 5/10/2025 | Timberwolves | -5.5 | 201 | -248 | +202 | 102-97 MIN |
| 5/8/2025 | Timberwolves | -10.5 | 201.5 | -543 | +404 | 117-93 MIN |
| 5/6/2025 | Timberwolves | -6.5 | 210.5 | -246 | +200 | 99-88 GS |
| 1/15/2025 | Timberwolves | -7 | 216 | -269 | +216 | 116-115 GS |
| 12/21/2024 | Timberwolves | -3.5 | 217 | -175 | +147 | 113-103 GS |
| 12/8/2024 | Warriors | -1 | 215.5 | -113 | -106 | 114-106 GS |
| 12/6/2024 | Timberwolves | -1.5 | 220 | -119 | -100 | 107-90 MIN |
Timberwolves 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Minnesota has gone 19-27-0 ATS this season.
- The Timberwolves have a 6-11 record against the spread this season when favored by 8.5 points or more.
- The teams have hit the over in 22 of Minnesota's 47 games with a set total.
- This season, the Timberwolves have won 24 out of the 35 games, or 68.6%, in which they've been favored.
- This season, Minnesota has won 12 of its 17 games, or 70.6%, when favored by at least -321 on the moneyline.
Warriors 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Golden State's ATS record is 23-24-0 this season.
- When they have played as at least 8.5-point underdogs this year, the Warriors are 1-4 against the spread.
- Golden State has hit the over in 27 of its 47 games with a set total (57.4%).
- The Warriors have put together a 5-7 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 41.7% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +257 or longer, Golden State has gone 1-4 (20%).
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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Injury Report
Timberwolves
Timberwolves:
Terrence Shannon: Day-To-Day (Foot)
Warriors
Warriors:
Jimmy Butler: Out For Season (Knee),
Jonathan Kuminga: Day-To-Day (Knee),
Seth Curry: Day-To-Day (Back)
Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Monday, January 26, 2026
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: Peacock
- Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Arena: Target Center
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