Timberwolves vs. Heat Predictions, Odds & Stats – Jan. 6

The Minnesota Timberwolves (23-13) face the Miami Heat (20-16) as 4.5-point favorites on Tuesday, January 6, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock and FDSN.

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Timberwolves vs. Heat Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer model for this encounter expects a final tally of Timberwolves 120, Heat 116.

  • Moneyline Pick: Timberwolves (-187)
  • Total Pick: Under 238.5 (computer predicts 236.1 points)
  • Pick ATS: Heat (+4.5)

Recent Timberwolves vs. Heat Matchups

Timberwolves vs Heat (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
1/3/2026 Timberwolves -2.5 235.5 -141 +119 125-115 MIN
3/7/2025 Timberwolves -3.5 218.5 -161 +136 106-104 MIN
11/10/2024 Timberwolves -7.5 219 -289 +232 95-94 MIA

Timberwolves 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Minnesota is 15-21-0 ATS this season.
  • The Timberwolves have an 11-16 record against the spread when favored by 4.5 points or more this season.
  • Minnesota has gone over in 17 of its 36 games with a set total (47.2%).
  • This season, the Timberwolves have won 21 out of the 29 games, or 72.4%, in which they've been favored.
  • This season, Minnesota has won 20 of its 27 games, or 74.1%, when favored by at least -187 on the moneyline.

Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • So far this year, Miami has compiled a 21-14-1 record against the spread.
  • In games this season in which they were an underdog by 4.5 points or more, the Heat have a 6-4-1 record against the spread.
  • Of Miami's 36 games with a set total, 17 have hit the over (47.2%).
  • The Heat have gone 10-10 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 50% of those games).
  • Miami has a record of 3-8 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +155 or longer (27.3%).

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Timberwolves vs. Heat Injury Report

Timberwolves

Timberwolves:

Terrence Shannon: Out (Foot),

Anthony Edwards: Questionable (Injury Maintenance)

Heat

Heat:

Keshad Johnson: Probable (Back),

Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Out (Ankle)

Timberwolves vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Tuesday, January 6, 2026
  • Game time: 8 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: NBC/Peacock and FDSN
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Arena: Target Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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